Zvi backs Amodei's pacing but says verification is the whole ballgame, quoting Tim Hwang's 'independent, knowledgeable, or sustainably funded. Pick two'

Don't Worry About the Vase (Zvi Mowshowitz)·high signalXBlueskyLinkedInCopy link

Zvi Mowshowitz's September 14 post endorses pacing as 'Actual Progress' while dismantling the implementation. He relays Tim Hwang's formulation that embedded evaluators can be 'independent, knowledgeable, or sustainably funded. Pick two,' and Daniel Kokotajlo's test that genuine pacing requires visibly downward capability trendlines, not just maintained slopes, or it is safety-washing. Concrete figures in the post: 1,386 frontier-lab employees signed the July pacing letter, and Polymarket puts a federal AI safety bill by 2027 at 18%.