Mantic Raises $25M After Becoming the First Bot to Beat Every Human in the Metaculus Cup

Reuters via CNA (corroborated by The Star and Metaculus FutureEval results)·medium signalXBlueskyLinkedInCopy link

Reuters reported on 18 September 2026 that London-based Mantic raised $25 million in seed funding led by Radical Ventures, with Microsoft's M12, Thinking Machines Lab and Balderton participating, after the summer 2026 Metaculus Cup wrapped with the startup's AI outscoring every human entrant and all but one bot. CEO Toby Shevlane says participants at the June open predicted the top bot would reach 40% of the top humans' average score; Mantic cleared 80%. The counterweight is Metaculus's more controlled FutureEval: in Spring 2026 a team of 10 Pro Forecasters still edged the 10 best bots by 1.25 head-to-head points per question over 99 shared questions, and nine of the 10 individual Pros beat every individual bot.