Google Bumps Q-Day Estimate to 2029: Warns Industry to Migrate Off RSA and EC Immediately

Ars Technica·high signal

Google moved up its post-quantum cryptography migration deadline to 2029, citing a Google Quantum AI researcher's finding that RSA-2048 could be cracked in under a week using fewer than 1 million noisy qubits — a 20x reduction from the 2019 estimate. Gartner independently corroborates that RSA and ECC will become unsafe by 2029. Ars Technica reports Google is urging the entire industry to accelerate migration off RSA and elliptic curve cryptography more quickly than previously planned.