GitHub Surges to 275M Commits/Week — On Pace for 14 Billion in 2026 vs 1 Billion in All of 2025

Simon Willison·medium signal

GitHub COO Kyle Daigle revealed platform activity is on pace for 14 billion commits in 2026, up from 1 billion in all of 2025 — a 14x year-over-year increase driven largely by AI-assisted development. GitHub Actions usage has quadrupled from 500M minutes/week in 2023 to 1B in 2025 to 2.1 billion minutes in the current week. The implicit AI-coding signal is enormous: this level of commit volume growth can only be explained by machine-generated code at scale.