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Public story · 2026-02-26 · source-backed
ai-2027.com by Citrini's Van Geelen and Alap Shah -- the thought experiment that dropped the Dow 821 points. Endorsed by Yoshua Bengio. Predicts expert-level AI early 2027, ASI by end 2027. Low direct builder relevance but reflects mainstream anxiety shaping AI policy and investment decisions.
Each link below shares sources, entities, or timing with this story.
Bloomberg officially named the phenomenon. A senior Google engineer said Claude Code "re-created a year's worth of work in an hour." Combined with Boris Cherny's "software engineer title will go away by year-end" (4% of GitHub commits by Claude Code, predicted 20% by year-end)...
His September 11 piece argues lying, cheating, coordinating and containment escape are products of pretraining on human text, RL for reasoning and agentic tasks, and goal-seeking optimization that exploits the gap between well-specified and vague objectives. He leans on forens...
40+ experts and 31,000+ human hours built 60 project-level research tasks across 11 domains, designed so guidance is progressively withdrawn *within the same project*. Across 18 agent-model configurations: 50.91 with full methodological guidance, 29.10 when only the method is...
Orr Paradise, Oliver Richardson, Yoshua Bengio and Shafi Goldwasser construct an interactive PCP protocol where a polynomial-time verifier certifies approximate consistency of predictions specified by circuits, even though those circuits implicitly define exponentially many cl...
Boris Cherny, the person who built Claude Code, told Sequoia's AI Ascent that he hasn't personally written a line of code in 2026. He delegates 100% to AI. Ships dozens of PRs daily from his phone. Predicts the title "software engineer" starts disappearing by end of 2026, repl...
Scott Werner's speculative fiction piece (509 points, 313 comments on HN) argues AI-generated software shifts failures from buggy code to ambiguous natural-language specifications. A weather service recalibration cascades into a $25K crop-management failure because independent...
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